RISK
Market Signals • Risk

Risk Metrics & Portfolio Analytics

Quantify risk, maximize risk-adjusted returns.

Master Risk Management

Protect your capital first, grow it second. This dashboard quantifies risk through professional metrics: Sharpe Ratio (risk-adjusted returns), Volatility (price swings), Max Drawdown (worst-case losses), and VaR (daily risk exposure). Use these to size positions appropriately and avoid overleveraging during euphoria.

💡 Métriques de risque crypto

Les indicateurs de risque vous aident à ne pas acheter au sommet et à identifier les opportunités d'achat. Volatilité, drawdown, Sharpe ratio...

⚠️ Signaux d'alerte : Volatilité > 80% = marché très risqué. Drawdown > -50% = correction sévère en cours. Fear & Greed < 20 = opportunité d'achat potentielle.

💡 Why Risk Metrics Matter (Professional Trading)

  • Sharpe Ratio: Risk-adjusted returns (>2 = excellent, <1 = poor)
  • Maximum Drawdown: Worst peak-to-trough loss (risk tolerance check)
  • Volatility (30d/90d): Position sizing calculator
  • Value at Risk (VaR): Expected loss at 95% confidence
  • Risk-Adjusted Performance: Compare returns accounting for risk taken

High returns mean nothing without understanding the risk taken to achieve them!

BTC Price
$0
Volatility: 0.0%
Sharpe Ratio (90d)
0.00
Poor
Max Drawdown
0.0%
Current: 0.0%
VaR (95%, 1d)
0.00%
Expected worst day

💵 Returns Performance

1 Day
N/A
7 Days
N/A
30 Days
N/A
90 Days
N/A
YTD
N/A

💡 Risk-Adjusted Returns - Volatility & Sharpe Ratio

Volatility measures price fluctuation (standard deviation) - how wild the swings are. Sharpe Ratio measures risk-adjusted returns - how much return you get per unit of risk taken. Higher Sharpe = better risk/reward. These metrics help compare assets fairly.

📊 Investment Strategy:
High Volatility (>80%) = Very risky, position size accordingly (max 5% of portfolio)
Sharpe >2.0 = Excellent risk/reward, outperforming risk-free rate significantly
Sharpe <1.0 = Poor risk/reward, consider if risk is worth it
• Compare across periods - decreasing volatility + increasing Sharpe = market maturing

📊 Volatility Analysis (Annualized)

>80%: Extreme | 50-80%: High | <50%: Moderate

📈 Sharpe Ratio Analysis

>2.0: Excellent | 1.0-2.0: Good | <1.0: Poor

💡 Drawdown Analysis - Maximum Pain

Drawdown measures the decline from a peak (all-time high) to the lowest point before a new peak. It shows you the maximum pain you would have experienced holding from the top. This is crucial for understanding your risk tolerance and position sizing.

⚠️ Risk Management:
-20% to -30% = Healthy correction in bull market (normal)
-50% to -70% = Bear market territory (test of conviction)
-80%+ = Crypto winter / severe bear market (max pain)
• If you can't stomach a -80% drop, reduce position size or avoid crypto
• Drawdowns are NORMAL in crypto - BTC has had 6 drawdowns >50% in its history

📉 Drawdown Analysis - Peak to Trough Losses (90 days)

0% = ATH | -20 to -30% = Healthy correction | -50 to -80% = Bear market

⚠️ Value at Risk (VaR) - Downside Risk Quantification

Expected maximum loss at 95% confidence (1 in 20 periods will be worse)

1-Day VaR (95%)
0.00%
1 in 20 days will be worse
7-Day VaR (95%)
N/A
1 in 20 weeks will be worse
30-Day VaR (95%)
N/A
1 in 20 months will be worse

📊 Additional Risk Metrics

Sortino Ratio (1Y)0.00
Win RateN/A
Win/Loss RatioN/A
Avg WinN/A
Avg LossN/A

🎯 Position Sizing Guide

Portfolio Size: $10,000
Risk Tolerance: 2%
Recommended Position Size
N/A
Calculating...

Based on 1-day VaR (0.00%) and 2% risk tolerance

📚 Understanding Risk Metrics

Sharpe Ratio: Measures return per unit of risk. >2 is excellent for crypto.
Sortino Ratio: Like Sharpe but only penalizes downside volatility (better measure).
Max Drawdown: Worst peak-to-trough decline. Shows pain tolerance needed.
VaR: Statistical estimate of maximum expected loss over time period.
Volatility: Annualized standard deviation. Higher = more risk.
Win Rate: % of winning days. >50% is good for trend-following.
⚠️
Risk Warning
Never risk more than 2-5% of your portfolio on a single trade. Target Sharpe Ratio > 1.5 for crypto investments. When volatility exceeds 80%, reduce position sizes by 50%. During max drawdowns > 60%, wait for stabilization before adding capital. Risk management beats prediction every time.

💎PRO TIPS

💡

Sharpe ratio > 2.0 is excellent for crypto - balance returns with risk

💡

Max drawdown shows worst-case scenario - can you handle -70% drops?

💡

Use VaR for position sizing: never risk more than 1-2% per trade

💡

Sortino ratio is better than Sharpe as it only penalizes downside volatility

⚠️
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency and financial markets are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.

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